Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Tromso to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTromso to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceTromso or draw ✗86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.57
Tromso vs Brann preview and prediction
The match
Brann travel to Alfheim in the Eliteserien on Wednesday 29 April (18:00 WAT) to face Tromso. Tromso are 6th with 40 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Brann sit 7th on 33 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Tromso's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Brann's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Aalesund 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Tromso arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Brann 1–2 Tromso.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Tromso and 0.9 for Brann. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tromso 62%, draw 24%, Brann 14%.
Safer route: Tromso or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Tromso to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tromso or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tromso 1–0 Brann. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tromso62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.45
Brann14%fair 7.14 · @3.65
2.83Expected goals
1.98Tromso xG
0.85Brann xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Tromso 2.0 – 0.9 Brann expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Tromso or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tromso vs Brann?
On our numbers Tromso have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brann 14%.
How many goals will there be in Tromso vs Brann?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tromso vs Brann?
Our predicted score is Tromso 1–0 Brann, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tromso vs Brann?
Tromso vs Brann (Eliteserien) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfheim.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
