Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBodoGlimt to win ✓71% · @1.25
Double chanceBodoGlimt or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.03
BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees BodoGlimt take on Lillestrom on Friday 31 July, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Aspmyra Stadion. BodoGlimt are 2nd with 62 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Lillestrom sit 4th on 45 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
BodoGlimt's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Sandefjord 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lillestrom's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Viking 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
BodoGlimt arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for BodoGlimt and 0.9 for Lillestrom. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was BodoGlimt to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: BodoGlimt 2–0 Lillestrom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BodoGlimt71%fair 1.41 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @6.50
Lillestrom11%fair 9.39 · @8.60
3.18Expected goals
2.31BodoGlimt xG
0.87Lillestrom xG
57%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: BodoGlimt 2.3 – 0.9 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BodoGlimt to win✓
71%
1.41
1.25
Double chance
BodoGlimt or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Half-time result
BodoGlimt ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BodoGlimt / FT BodoGlimt✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.03
–
Form
BodoGlimt – last 6
WWWWWW
26 Jul
@ Sandefjord
3–0
W
22 Jul
vs Ham-Kam
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Fredrikstad
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ KFUM Oslo
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Start
4–0
W
28 Jun
@ Molde
4–1
W
2.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lillestrom – last 6
LWWLLL
22 Jul
vs Viking
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs KFUM Oslo
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Fredrikstad
2–0
W
20 Jun
@ FC Midtjylland
0–1
L
25 May
@ Ham-Kam
0–2
L
20 May
vs Kristiansund BK
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BodoGlimt and Lillestrom.
What is the prediction for BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom?
Our pick is BodoGlimt to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom?
On our numbers BodoGlimt have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Lillestrom 11%.
How many goals will there be in BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom?
Our predicted score is BodoGlimt 2–0 Lillestrom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom?
BodoGlimt vs Lillestrom (Eliteserien) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Aspmyra Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
