Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sarpsborg 08 FF to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceSarpsborg 08 FF or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.93
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam preview and prediction
The match
Sarpsborg 08 FF host Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Sarpsborg Stadion. Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th with 31 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Ham-Kam sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sarpsborg 08 FF's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Kristiansund BK 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ham-Kam's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to BodoGlimt 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sarpsborg 08 FF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Sarpsborg 08 FF 3–2 Ham-Kam.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Sarpsborg 08 FF and 0.9 for Ham-Kam. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Sarpsborg 08 FF to win at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–0 Ham-Kam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarpsborg 08 FF65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.00
Ham-Kam14%fair 7.25 · @4.33
2.99Expected goals
2.11Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
0.88Ham-Kam xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.1 – 0.9 Ham-Kam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?
Our pick is Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?
On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ham-Kam 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?
Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–0 Ham-Kam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
