Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRosenborg to win ✓67% · @1.70
Double chanceRosenborg or draw ✓89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.66
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Rosenborg take on Fredrikstad on Monday 27 July, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Lerkendal Stadion. Rosenborg are 3rd with 46 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Fredrikstad sit 12th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rosenborg's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Manchester United 0–5 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Fredrikstad's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to BodoGlimt 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rosenborg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Rosenborg and 0.7 for Fredrikstad. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Rosenborg to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rosenborg 2–0 Fredrikstad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rosenborg67%fair 1.50 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.80
Fredrikstad11%fair 8.73 · @4.60
2.76Expected goals
2.03Rosenborg xG
0.73Fredrikstad xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: Rosenborg 2.0 – 0.7 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosenborg to win✓
67%
1.50
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Rosenborg or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Rosenborg ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosenborg / FT Rosenborg✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.66
–
Form
Rosenborg – last 6
LWWWDL
24 Jul
vs Manchester United
0–5
L
18 Jul
@ Start
3–0
W
12 Jul
vs Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
5 Jul
vs Molde
2–1
W
29 May
vs BodoGlimt
2–2
D
25 May
@ KFUM Oslo
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fredrikstad – last 6
LLLWDL
17 Jul
@ BodoGlimt
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Lillestrom
0–2
L
4 Jul
@ Valerenga
1–3
L
29 May
vs Start
2–1
W
25 May
@ Sandefjord
1–1
D
9 May
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rosenborg and Fredrikstad.
What is the prediction for Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
Our pick is Rosenborg to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Rosenborg have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fredrikstad 11%.
How many goals will there be in Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Rosenborg 2–0 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Lerkendal Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
