Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultValerenga to win ✓59% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Valerenga vs Aalesund preview and prediction
The match
Valerenga host Aalesund in the Eliteserien on Thursday 16 July, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Intility Arena. Valerenga are 8th with 32 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Aalesund sit 15th on 24 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Valerenga's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Tromso 0–4 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Aalesund's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Molde 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Valerenga and 1.1 for Aalesund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Valerenga 2–1 Aalesund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valerenga59%fair 1.69 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @4.10
Aalesund21%fair 4.66 · @4.20
3.16Expected goals
2.04Valerenga xG
1.13Aalesund xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Valerenga 2.0 – 1.1 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valerenga to win✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.65
Half-time result
Valerenga ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valerenga / FT Valerenga✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Form
Valerenga – last 6
LWDWLL
11 Jul
@ Tromso
0–4
L
4 Jul
vs Fredrikstad
3–1
W
18 Jun
@ IFK Goteborg
1–1
D
29 May
vs Kristiansund BK
3–1
W
25 May
@ Start
0–2
L
8 May
@ Ham-Kam
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aalesund – last 6
DWDDWL
11 Jul
vs Molde
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
29 May
vs Ham-Kam
2–2
D
25 May
@ Tromso
1–1
D
20 May
vs Brann
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Brann
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valerenga and Aalesund.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Valerenga vs Aalesund?
On our numbers Valerenga have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aalesund 21%.
How many goals will there be in Valerenga vs Aalesund?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valerenga vs Aalesund?
Our predicted score is Valerenga 2–1 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Valerenga vs Aalesund?
Valerenga vs Aalesund (Eliteserien) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Intility Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
