Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Lillestrom to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
U3.5
Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLillestrom to win ✗68% · @1.40
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✗84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK preview and prediction
The match
Kristiansund BK travel to Åråsen in the Eliteserien on Wednesday 20 May (18:00 WAT) to face Lillestrom. Lillestrom are 4th with 45 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Kristiansund BK sit 14th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lillestrom's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Rosenborg 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kristiansund BK's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Fredrikstad 2–0 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Lillestrom and 0.9 for Kristiansund BK. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lillestrom 68%, draw 16%, Kristiansund BK 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 1.83 – 58% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lillestrom to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Lillestrom 2–0 Kristiansund BK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lillestrom68%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @5.00
Kristiansund BK16%fair 6.24 · @6.50
3.00Expected goals
2.12Lillestrom xG
0.88Kristiansund BK xG
59%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lillestrom 2.1 – 0.9 Kristiansund BK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lillestrom to win✗
68%
1.48
1.40
Double chance
Lillestrom or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Half-time result
Lillestrom ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lillestrom / FT Lillestrom✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
Lillestrom – last 6
LWDWLW
10 May
@ Rosenborg
0–2
L
3 May
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
4–0
W
15 Apr
@ Tromso
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Molde
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Orgryte IS
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Aalesund
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kristiansund BK – last 5
WLWWD
19 Apr
vs Fredrikstad
2–0
W
6 Apr
vs BodoGlimt
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Brann
3–2
W
18 Feb
vs Ham-Kam
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Egersund
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lillestrom and Kristiansund BK.
What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK?
Our pick is Lillestrom to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK?
On our numbers Lillestrom have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kristiansund BK 16%.
How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK?
Our predicted score is Lillestrom 2–0 Kristiansund BK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK?
Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK (Eliteserien) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Åråsen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
