Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Tromso to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTromso to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceTromso or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Tromso vs Fredrikstad preview and prediction
The match
Fredrikstad travel to Alfheim in the Eliteserien on Sunday 15 March (19:15 WAT) to face Tromso. Tromso are 6th with 40 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Fredrikstad sit 12th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tromso's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Lillestrom 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fredrikstad's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Fredrikstad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Value angle: Tromso to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tromso or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tromso64%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.60
Fredrikstad16%fair 6.22 · @4.00
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tromso to win✓
64%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Tromso or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Form
Tromso – last 3
DDW
27 Feb
vs Lillestrom
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Viking
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Bryne
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fredrikstad – last 3
WWD
8 Mar
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Aalesund
3–2
W
17 Feb
vs KFUM Oslo
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tromso and Fredrikstad.
Our pick is Tromso or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tromso vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Tromso have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fredrikstad 16%.
When is Tromso vs Fredrikstad?
Tromso vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Alfheim.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
