FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893 prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
FC Basel 1893 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Basel 1893 to win ✓68% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23
FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893 preview and prediction
The match
FC Winterthur host FC Basel 1893 in the Super League on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadion Schützenwiese.
Form guide
FC Winterthur's last 4: WDLL Most recently they beat FC Luzern 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
FC Basel 1893's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Servette FC 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
FC Basel 1893 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for FC Winterthur and 2.3 for FC Basel 1893. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Winterthur 21%, draw 12%, FC Basel 1893 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Basel 1893 to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Winterthur 1–2 FC Basel 1893. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Winterthur21%fair 4.80 · @4.20
Draw12%fair 8.66 · @4.20
FC Basel 189368%fair 1.48 · @1.68
3.34Expected goals
1.08FC Winterthur xG
2.26FC Basel 1893 xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: FC Winterthur 1.1 – 2.3 FC Basel 1893 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Basel 1893 to win✓
68%
1.48
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Half-time result
FC Basel 1893 ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Basel 1893 / FT FC Basel 1893✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.23
–
Form
FC Winterthur – last 4
WDLL
15 Mar
@ FC Luzern
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Servette FC
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs FC Thun
0–3
L
18 Feb
vs FC ST. Gallen
1–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
FC Basel 1893 – last 6
WLWWLD
15 Mar
vs Servette FC
3–1
W
8 Mar
@ FC ST. Gallen
0–3
L
5 Mar
vs Grasshoppers
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Lausanne
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ FC Luzern
2–4
L
15 Feb
vs FC Lugano
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Winterthur and FC Basel 1893.
What is the prediction for FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?
Our pick is FC Basel 1893 to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?
On our numbers FC Winterthur have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 12% and FC Basel 1893 68%.
How many goals will there be in FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?
Our predicted score is FC Winterthur 1–2 FC Basel 1893, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?
FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893 (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Schützenwiese.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
