Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: FC Lugano to win @ 3.50 – our chance 30% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC ST. Gallen to win ✗47% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.09
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees FC ST. Gallen take on FC Lugano on Tuesday 17 March, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Kybunpark. FC ST. Gallen are 4th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while FC Lugano sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC ST. Gallen's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat FC Basel 1893 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
FC Lugano's last 4: WLWD Most recently they beat FC Sion 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FC ST. Gallen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for FC ST. Gallen and 1.7 for FC Lugano. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC ST. Gallen 47%, draw 22%, FC Lugano 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.55.
Value angle: FC Lugano to win at 3.50 – 30% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Lugano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC ST. Gallen47%fair 2.12 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
FC Lugano30%fair 3.28 · @3.50
3.31Expected goals
1.65FC ST. Gallen xG
1.66FC Lugano xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: FC ST. Gallen 1.7 – 1.7 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC ST. Gallen to win✗
47%
2.12
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Lugano / FT FC Lugano✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.09
–
Form
FC ST. Gallen – last 3
WDW
8 Mar
vs FC Basel 1893
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ FC Thun
2–2
D
18 Feb
@ FC Winterthur
5–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Lugano – last 4
WLWD
4 Mar
vs FC Sion
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Grasshoppers
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Lausanne
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ FC Basel 1893
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC ST. Gallen and FC Lugano.
What is the prediction for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
On our numbers FC ST. Gallen have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Lugano 30%.
How many goals will there be in FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
Our predicted score is FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Kybunpark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
