Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: FC ST. Gallen to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Thun to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.63
FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen preview and prediction
The match
FC ST. Gallen travel to Stockhorn Arena in the Super League on Thursday 5 March (20:30 WAT) to face FC Thun. FC Thun are 8th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while FC ST. Gallen sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for FC Thun and 1.8 for FC ST. Gallen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Thun 41%, draw 24%, FC ST. Gallen 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.42.
Value angle: FC ST. Gallen to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: FC Thun 1–1 FC ST. Gallen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Thun41%fair 2.46 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.65
FC ST. Gallen36%fair 2.80 · @3.10
3.51Expected goals
1.72FC Thun xG
1.79FC ST. Gallen xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: FC Thun 1.7 – 1.8 FC ST. Gallen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Thun to win✗
41%
2.46
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC ST. Gallen / FT FC ST. Gallen✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.63
–
Form
FC Thun – last 2
WW
25 Feb
@ FC Winterthur
3–0
W
15 Feb
vs FC Sion
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC ST. Gallen – last 1
W
18 Feb
@ FC Winterthur
5–1
W
5.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Thun and FC ST. Gallen.
What is the prediction for FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen?
On our numbers FC Thun have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC ST. Gallen 36%.
How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen?
Our predicted score is FC Thun 1–1 FC ST. Gallen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen?
FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
