Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Correcaminos Uat or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Correcaminos Uat to win @ 1.81 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCorrecaminos Uat to win ✗59% · @1.81
Double chanceCorrecaminos Uat or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca preview and prediction
The match
Alebrijes de Oaxaca travel to face Correcaminos Uat in the Liga De Expansión MX on Saturday 18 April (02:00 WAT). Correcaminos Uat are 12th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Alebrijes de Oaxaca sit 9th on 22 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Correcaminos Uat's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Mineros de Zacatecas 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to CDS Tampico Madero 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Correcaminos Uat and 1.0 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Correcaminos Uat or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Correcaminos Uat to win at 1.81 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Correcaminos Uat or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Correcaminos Uat 1–1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Correcaminos Uat59%fair 1.69 · @1.81
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
Alebrijes de Oaxaca20%fair 4.94 · @4.20
2.98Expected goals
1.95Correcaminos Uat xG
1.03Alebrijes de Oaxaca xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Correcaminos Uat 1.9 – 1.0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Correcaminos Uat to win✗
59%
1.69
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Correcaminos Uat or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.36
Half-time result
Correcaminos Uat ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Correcaminos Uat / FT Correcaminos Uat✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Correcaminos Uat – last 6
LLLLWW
13 Apr
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
1–3
L
4 Apr
vs Cancún
1–3
L
29 Mar
@ Dorados
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ CDS Tampico Madero
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Irapuato
2–1
W
7 Mar
@ Venados FC
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – last 6
LLDLWL
11 Apr
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Tepatitlán
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ CA La Paz
0–4
L
14 Mar
vs Tapatío
4–3
W
8 Mar
@ Irapuato
2–6
L
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Correcaminos Uat and Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What is the prediction for Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Our pick is Correcaminos Uat or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
On our numbers Correcaminos Uat have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 20%.
How many goals will there be in Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Our predicted score is Correcaminos Uat 1–1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Correcaminos Uat vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlante FC1