Tlaxcala host Atlante FC in the Liga De Expansión MX on Thursday 19 March, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Tlahuicole.
Form guide
Tlaxcala's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to CA La Paz 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlante FC's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Monarcas 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlante FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for Tlaxcala and 1.7 for Atlante FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tlaxcala 27%, draw 21%, Atlante FC 53%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Tlaxcala 1–1 Atlante FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tlaxcala27%fair 3.75 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.55
Atlante FC53%fair 1.89 · @1.97
2.75Expected goals
1.08Tlaxcala xG
1.66Atlante FC xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Tlaxcala 1.1 – 1.7 Atlante FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlante FC to win✗
53%
1.89
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlante FC / FT Atlante FC✗
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.39
–
Form
Tlaxcala – last 3
LWD
8 Mar
@ CA La Paz
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Tepatitlán
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atlante FC – last 5
WDWWD
8 Mar
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Irapuato
5–0
W
22 Feb
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Correcaminos Uat
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tlaxcala and Atlante FC.
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala vs Atlante FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tlaxcala vs Atlante FC?
On our numbers Tlaxcala have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlante FC 53%.
How many goals will there be in Tlaxcala vs Atlante FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tlaxcala vs Atlante FC?
Our predicted score is Tlaxcala 1–1 Atlante FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tlaxcala vs Atlante FC?
Tlaxcala vs Atlante FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tlahuicole.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
