Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Tepatitlán or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Tepatitlán to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTepatitlán to win ✓65% · @1.90
Double chanceTepatitlán or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.77
Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas preview and prediction
The match
Mineros de Zacatecas travel to face Tepatitlán in the Liga De Expansión MX on Monday 9 March (00:00 WAT). Tepatitlán are 16th with 7 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Mineros de Zacatecas sit 10th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tepatitlán's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Tlaxcala 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Tepatitlán and 0.8 for Mineros de Zacatecas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tepatitlán 65%, draw 20%, Mineros de Zacatecas 15%.
Safer route: Tepatitlán or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Tepatitlán to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tepatitlán or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tepatitlán 1–0 Mineros de Zacatecas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tepatitlán65%fair 1.53 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.60
Mineros de Zacatecas15%fair 6.65 · @3.75
2.71Expected goals
1.93Tepatitlán xG
0.78Mineros de Zacatecas xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Tepatitlán 1.9 – 0.8 Mineros de Zacatecas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tepatitlán to win✓
65%
1.53
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Tepatitlán or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Half-time result
Tepatitlán ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tepatitlán / FT Tepatitlán✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.77
–
Form
Tepatitlán – last 3
LWD
1 Mar
@ Tlaxcala
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Irapuato
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Leones Negros UDG
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mineros de Zacatecas – last 2
WL
28 Feb
vs Venados FC
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Cancún
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tepatitlán and Mineros de Zacatecas.
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our pick is Tepatitlán or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
On our numbers Tepatitlán have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mineros de Zacatecas 15%.
How many goals will there be in Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our predicted score is Tepatitlán 1–0 Mineros de Zacatecas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
