Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIF Elfsborg to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.67
IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF preview and prediction
The match
Malmo FF travel to Borås Arena in the Allsvenskan on Friday 23 October (18:00 WAT) to face IF Elfsborg. IF Elfsborg are 5th with 46 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Malmo FF sit 7th on 41 points (in the top half).
Form guide
IF Elfsborg's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Sirius 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Malmo FF's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to BK Hacken 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Malmo FF 1–2 IF Elfsborg.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for IF Elfsborg and 1.3 for Malmo FF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: IF Elfsborg 45%, draw 21%, Malmo FF 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Malmo FF to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: IF Elfsborg 1–1 Malmo FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IF Elfsborg45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Malmo FF35%fair 2.89 · @3.10
2.77Expected goals
1.50IF Elfsborg xG
1.27Malmo FF xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: IF Elfsborg 1.5 – 1.3 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?
On our numbers IF Elfsborg have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malmo FF 35%.
How many goals will there be in IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?
Our predicted score is IF Elfsborg 1–1 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?
IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Borås Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
