Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalmo FF to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceMalmo FF or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.11
Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF preview and prediction
The match
Kalmar FF travel to Eleda Stadion in the Allsvenskan on Monday 12 October (18:00 WAT) to face Malmo FF. Malmo FF are 7th with 41 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Kalmar FF sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Malmo FF's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat FC Nordsjaelland 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kalmar FF's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with IFK Norrkoping 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Malmo FF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 July 2026, finished Kalmar FF 2–2 Malmo FF.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Malmo FF and 0.9 for Kalmar FF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Malmo FF to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Malmo FF or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Malmo FF 1–0 Kalmar FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malmo FF63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.75
Kalmar FF18%fair 5.66 · @4.20
2.89Expected goals
1.98Malmo FF xG
0.91Kalmar FF xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Malmo FF 2.0 – 0.9 Kalmar FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Malmo FF or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF?
On our numbers Malmo FF have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kalmar FF 18%.
How many goals will there be in Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF?
Our predicted score is Malmo FF 1–0 Kalmar FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF?
Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Eleda Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
