Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalmo FF to win ✗66% · @1.75
Double chanceMalmo FF or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.60
Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm preview and prediction
The match
Malmo FF host AIK Stockholm in the Allsvenskan on Monday 7 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Eleda Stadion. Malmo FF are 7th with 41 points from 28 games (in the top half), while AIK Stockholm sit 8th on 41 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Malmo FF's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Sirius 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
AIK Stockholm's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Hammarby FF 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished AIK Stockholm 0–1 Malmo FF.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Malmo FF and 0.9 for AIK Stockholm. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Malmo FF 66%, draw 21%, AIK Stockholm 13%.
Safer route: Malmo FF or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Malmo FF to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Malmo FF or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Malmo FF 2–0 AIK Stockholm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malmo FF66%fair 1.52 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.90
AIK Stockholm13%fair 7.50 · @3.90
3.19Expected goals
2.25Malmo FF xG
0.94AIK Stockholm xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Malmo FF 2.2 – 0.9 AIK Stockholm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm?
Our pick is Malmo FF or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm?
On our numbers Malmo FF have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AIK Stockholm 13%.
How many goals will there be in Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm?
Our predicted score is Malmo FF 2–0 AIK Stockholm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm?
Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Eleda Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
