Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Sirius to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSirius to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceSirius or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Sirius vs Malmo FF preview and prediction
The match
Malmo FF travel to Studenternas IP in the Allsvenskan on Monday 31 August (18:00 WAT) to face Sirius. Sirius are 2nd with 58 points from 28 games (in the top four), while Malmo FF sit 7th on 41 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sirius's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Friska Viljor 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Malmo FF's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Lindo FF 5–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Malmo FF 2–3 Sirius.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Sirius and 1.2 for Malmo FF. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sirius 61%, draw 20%, Malmo FF 19%.
Safer route: Sirius or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Sirius to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sirius or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sirius 2–1 Malmo FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sirius61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.90
Malmo FF19%fair 5.26 · @3.65
3.51Expected goals
2.28Sirius xG
1.23Malmo FF xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sirius 2.3 – 1.2 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Sirius or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sirius vs Malmo FF?
On our numbers Sirius have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Malmo FF 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sirius vs Malmo FF?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sirius vs Malmo FF?
Our predicted score is Sirius 2–1 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sirius vs Malmo FF?
Sirius vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Studenternas IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
