Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGais to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Gais vs Malmo FF preview and prediction
The match
Gais host Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Gamla Ullevi. Gais are 9th with 40 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while Malmo FF sit 7th on 41 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gais's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Halmstad 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Malmo FF's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Degerfors IF 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Gais and 1.4 for Malmo FF. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gais 41%, draw 22%, Malmo FF 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Malmo FF to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Gais 1–1 Malmo FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gais41%fair 2.45 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Malmo FF37%fair 2.72 · @3.00
2.95Expected goals
1.52Gais xG
1.43Malmo FF xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Gais 1.5 – 1.4 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gais to win✗
41%
2.45
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gais / FT Gais✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.56
–
Form
Gais – last 6
WLDWLW
9 Aug
@ Halmstad
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ FC Nordsjaelland
0–6
L
26 Jul
vs Halmstad
1–1
D
23 Jul
vs FC Nordsjaelland
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ AIK Stockholm
0–2
L
12 Jul
vs IF Elfsborg
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Malmo FF – last 6
LWLDWW
9 Aug
vs Degerfors IF
1–3
L
2 Aug
@ IF Brommapojkarna
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs IF Elfsborg
1–2
L
20 Jul
@ Kalmar FF
2–2
D
12 Jul
vs IFK Goteborg
4–0
W
4 Jul
@ Degerfors IF
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gais and Malmo FF.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gais vs Malmo FF?
On our numbers Gais have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Malmo FF 37%.
How many goals will there be in Gais vs Malmo FF?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gais vs Malmo FF?
Our predicted score is Gais 1–1 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Gais vs Malmo FF?
Gais vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Gamla Ullevi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
