Value bet: IF Elfsborg to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIF Elfsborg to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.98
IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF preview and prediction
The match
Mjallby AIF travel to Borås Arena in the Allsvenskan on Thursday 21 May (18:00 WAT) to face IF Elfsborg. IF Elfsborg are 5th with 46 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Mjallby AIF sit 12th on 28 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
IF Elfsborg's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat IF Brommapojkarna 2–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mjallby AIF's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to BK Hacken 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
IF Elfsborg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for IF Elfsborg and 1.0 for Mjallby AIF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: IF Elfsborg 40%, draw 27%, Mjallby AIF 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: IF Elfsborg to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: IF Elfsborg 1–1 Mjallby AIF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IF Elfsborg40%fair 2.47 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.20
Mjallby AIF33%fair 3.07 · @2.50
2.46Expected goals
1.46IF Elfsborg xG
1.00Mjallby AIF xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: IF Elfsborg 1.5 – 1.0 Mjallby AIF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IF Elfsborg to win✗
40%
2.47
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IF Elfsborg / FT IF Elfsborg✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.98
–
Form
IF Elfsborg – last 6
WLWWWW
8 May
vs IF Brommapojkarna
2–0
W
27 Apr
@ Kalmar FF
1–2
L
22 Apr
vs Djurgardens IF
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Degerfors IF
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs IFK Goteborg
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Osters IF
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mjallby AIF – last 6
LWWWDD
17 May
vs BK Hacken
0–1
L
14 May
vs Hammarby FF
2–1
W
3 May
@ Malmo FF
3–2
W
27 Apr
vs Halmstad
2–0
W
23 Apr
@ Gais
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ BK Hacken
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IF Elfsborg and Mjallby AIF.
What is the prediction for IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF?
On our numbers IF Elfsborg have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mjallby AIF 33%.
How many goals will there be in IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF?
Our predicted score is IF Elfsborg 1–1 Mjallby AIF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF?
IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Borås Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
