Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalmo FF to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceMalmo FF or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.92
Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg preview and prediction
The match
IF Elfsborg travel to Eleda Stadium in the Allsvenskan on Sunday 26 July (15:30 WAT) to face Malmo FF. Malmo FF are 7th with 41 points from 28 games (in the top half), while IF Elfsborg sit 5th on 46 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Malmo FF's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Kalmar FF 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
IF Elfsborg's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Sirius 1–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Malmo FF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Malmo FF and 1.0 for IF Elfsborg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Malmo FF 60%, draw 24%, IF Elfsborg 16%.
Safer route: Malmo FF or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Malmo FF to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Malmo FF or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Malmo FF 2–0 IF Elfsborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malmo FF60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.70
IF Elfsborg16%fair 6.45 · @3.80
3.04Expected goals
2.05Malmo FF xG
0.99IF Elfsborg xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Malmo FF 2.0 – 1.0 IF Elfsborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malmo FF to win✗
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Malmo FF or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Half-time result
Malmo FF ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malmo FF / FT Malmo FF✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.92
–
Form
Malmo FF – last 6
DWWDWL
20 Jul
@ Kalmar FF
2–2
D
12 Jul
vs IFK Goteborg
4–0
W
4 Jul
@ Degerfors IF
1–0
W
26 Jun
vs FC Midtjylland
2–2
D
30 May
vs Halmstad
5–2
W
24 May
vs Vasteras SK FK
2–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
IF Elfsborg – last 6
LLLDDD
19 Jul
vs Sirius
1–3
L
12 Jul
@ Gais
0–1
L
5 Jul
vs Hammarby FF
1–2
L
29 May
@ Orgryte IS
2–2
D
25 May
vs BK Hacken
1–1
D
21 May
vs Mjallby AIF
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malmo FF and IF Elfsborg.
What is the prediction for Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Our pick is Malmo FF or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?
On our numbers Malmo FF have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and IF Elfsborg 16%.
How many goals will there be in Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Our predicted score is Malmo FF 2–0 IF Elfsborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Eleda Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
