Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Sirius to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSirius to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
IF Elfsborg vs Sirius preview and prediction
The match
Sirius travel to Borås Arena in the Allsvenskan on Sunday 19 July (15:30 WAT) to face IF Elfsborg. IF Elfsborg are 5th with 46 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Sirius sit 2nd on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
IF Elfsborg's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Gais 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sirius's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat IF Brommapojkarna 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Sirius arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished IF Elfsborg 1–2 Sirius.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for IF Elfsborg and 2.1 for Sirius. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: IF Elfsborg 21%, draw 15%, Sirius 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Sirius to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: IF Elfsborg 1–2 Sirius. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IF Elfsborg21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Draw15%fair 6.48 · @3.60
Sirius64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
3.06Expected goals
1.01IF Elfsborg xG
2.05Sirius xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–110%
0–110%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: IF Elfsborg 1.0 – 2.1 Sirius expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Sirius?
On our numbers IF Elfsborg have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Sirius 64%.
How many goals will there be in IF Elfsborg vs Sirius?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IF Elfsborg vs Sirius?
Our predicted score is IF Elfsborg 1–2 Sirius, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is IF Elfsborg vs Sirius?
IF Elfsborg vs Sirius (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Borås Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
