Value bet: Gais to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGais to win ✗44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.99
AIK Stockholm vs Gais preview and prediction
The match
Gais travel to Strawberry Arena in the Allsvenskan on Saturday 18 July (14:00 WAT) to face AIK Stockholm. AIK Stockholm are 8th with 41 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Gais sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AIK Stockholm's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Mjallby AIF 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Gais's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat IF Elfsborg 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for AIK Stockholm and 1.4 for Gais. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AIK Stockholm 36%, draw 21%, Gais 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Gais to win at 2.55 – 44% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: AIK Stockholm 1–1 Gais. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AIK Stockholm36%fair 2.82 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.40
Gais44%fair 2.29 · @2.55
2.64Expected goals
1.24AIK Stockholm xG
1.41Gais xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: AIK Stockholm 1.2 – 1.4 Gais expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gais to win✗
44%
2.29
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gais / FT Gais✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.99
–
Form
AIK Stockholm – last 6
WWWLLW
11 Jul
@ Mjallby AIF
2–1
W
5 Jul
@ IFK Goteborg
2–1
W
28 Jun
vs Vasteras SK FK
3–2
W
22 Jun
vs Kalmar FF
0–2
L
30 May
vs Sirius
0–3
L
24 May
@ Hammarby FF
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Gais – last 6
WDWLWD
12 Jul
vs IF Elfsborg
1–0
W
6 Jul
@ IF Brommapojkarna
1–1
D
30 May
vs Kalmar FF
3–0
W
24 May
@ Sirius
1–2
L
20 May
vs Hammarby FF
2–0
W
23 Apr
vs Mjallby AIF
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AIK Stockholm and Gais.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win AIK Stockholm vs Gais?
On our numbers AIK Stockholm have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gais 44%.
How many goals will there be in AIK Stockholm vs Gais?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AIK Stockholm vs Gais?
Our predicted score is AIK Stockholm 1–1 Gais, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AIK Stockholm vs Gais?
AIK Stockholm vs Gais (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Strawberry Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
