Mjallby AIF vs AIK Stockholm prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Mjallby AIF or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Mjallby AIF to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMjallby AIF to win ✗61% · @1.90
Double chanceMjallby AIF or draw ✗87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.62
Mjallby AIF vs AIK Stockholm preview and prediction
The match
Mjallby AIF host AIK Stockholm in the Allsvenskan on Saturday 11 July, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Strandvallen. Mjallby AIF are 12th with 28 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while AIK Stockholm sit 8th on 41 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mjallby AIF's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Sirius 4–4 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
AIK Stockholm's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat IFK Goteborg 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
AIK Stockholm arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Mjallby AIF and 0.9 for AIK Stockholm. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mjallby AIF 61%, draw 25%, AIK Stockholm 13%.
Safer route: Mjallby AIF or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Mjallby AIF to win at 1.90 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mjallby AIF or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mjallby AIF 1–0 AIK Stockholm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mjallby AIF61%fair 1.63 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.65
AIK Stockholm13%fair 7.51 · @3.70
2.84Expected goals
1.98Mjallby AIF xG
0.86AIK Stockholm xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Mjallby AIF 2.0 – 0.9 AIK Stockholm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mjallby AIF to win✗
61%
1.63
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Mjallby AIF or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Half-time result
Mjallby AIF ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mjallby AIF / FT Mjallby AIF✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.62
–
Form
Mjallby AIF – last 6
DLDDDL
3 Jul
@ Sirius
4–4
D
27 Jun
@ FC Copenhagen
3–5
L
24 Jun
vs Halmstad
3–3
D
25 May
@ IFK Goteborg
1–1
D
21 May
@ IF Elfsborg
1–1
D
17 May
vs BK Hacken
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AIK Stockholm – last 6
WWLLWD
5 Jul
@ IFK Goteborg
2–1
W
28 Jun
vs Vasteras SK FK
3–2
W
22 Jun
vs Kalmar FF
0–2
L
30 May
vs Sirius
0–3
L
24 May
@ Hammarby FF
2–1
W
17 May
@ Vasteras SK FK
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mjallby AIF and AIK Stockholm.
What is the prediction for Mjallby AIF vs AIK Stockholm?
Our pick is Mjallby AIF or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mjallby AIF vs AIK Stockholm?
On our numbers Mjallby AIF have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AIK Stockholm 13%.
How many goals will there be in Mjallby AIF vs AIK Stockholm?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mjallby AIF vs AIK Stockholm?
Our predicted score is Mjallby AIF 1–0 AIK Stockholm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mjallby AIF vs AIK Stockholm?
Mjallby AIF vs AIK Stockholm (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Strandvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
