Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Hammarby FF to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHammarby FF to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceHammarby FF or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.72
IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby FF preview and prediction
The match
IF Elfsborg host Hammarby FF in the Allsvenskan on Sunday 5 July, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Borås Arena. IF Elfsborg are 5th with 46 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Hammarby FF sit 1st on 58 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
IF Elfsborg's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Orgryte IS 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Hammarby FF's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat BK Hacken 4–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
IF Elfsborg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for IF Elfsborg and 2.1 for Hammarby FF. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: IF Elfsborg 14%, draw 22%, Hammarby FF 64%.
Safer route: Hammarby FF or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Hammarby FF to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hammarby FF or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: IF Elfsborg 0–2 Hammarby FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IF Elfsborg14%fair 7.30 · @3.70
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
Hammarby FF64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
2.91Expected goals
0.86IF Elfsborg xG
2.05Hammarby FF xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: IF Elfsborg 0.9 – 2.1 Hammarby FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hammarby FF to win✓
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Hammarby FF or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Hammarby FF ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hammarby FF / FT Hammarby FF✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.72
–
Form
IF Elfsborg – last 6
DDDWLW
29 May
@ Orgryte IS
2–2
D
25 May
vs BK Hacken
1–1
D
21 May
vs Mjallby AIF
1–1
D
8 May
vs IF Brommapojkarna
2–0
W
27 Apr
@ Kalmar FF
1–2
L
22 Apr
vs Djurgardens IF
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hammarby FF – last 6
WLLLWL
24 Jun
@ BK Hacken
4–1
W
31 May
@ BK Hacken
2–3
L
24 May
vs AIK Stockholm
1–2
L
20 May
@ Gais
0–2
L
17 May
vs Malmo FF
4–1
W
14 May
@ Mjallby AIF
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IF Elfsborg and Hammarby FF.
What is the prediction for IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby FF?
Our pick is Hammarby FF or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby FF?
On our numbers IF Elfsborg have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hammarby FF 64%.
How many goals will there be in IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby FF?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby FF?
Our predicted score is IF Elfsborg 0–2 Hammarby FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby FF?
IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Borås Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
