Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalmo FF to win ✓49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF preview and prediction
The match
The Allsvenskan sees Degerfors IF take on Malmo FF on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stora Valla. Degerfors IF are 14th with 20 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Malmo FF sit 7th on 41 points (in the top half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Degerfors IF's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with IF Brommapojkarna 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Malmo FF's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with FC Midtjylland 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.3 for Degerfors IF and 1.8 for Malmo FF. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Degerfors IF 30%, draw 21%, Malmo FF 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Malmo FF to win at 2.20 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Degerfors IF 1–1 Malmo FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Degerfors IF30%fair 3.33 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Malmo FF49%fair 2.04 · @2.20
3.06Expected goals
1.31Degerfors IF xG
1.75Malmo FF xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Degerfors IF 1.3 – 1.8 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malmo FF to win✓
49%
2.04
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malmo FF / FT Malmo FF✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.64
–
Form
Degerfors IF – last 6
DLDWLW
31 May
vs IF Brommapojkarna
2–2
D
23 May
@ Kalmar FF
1–2
L
27 Apr
@ Orgryte IS
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs AIK Stockholm
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs IF Elfsborg
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Halmstad
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Malmo FF – last 6
DWLLLW
26 Jun
vs FC Midtjylland
2–2
D
30 May
vs Halmstad
5–2
W
24 May
vs Vasteras SK FK
2–3
L
17 May
@ Hammarby FF
1–4
L
3 May
vs Mjallby AIF
2–3
L
27 Apr
@ AIK Stockholm
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Degerfors IF and Malmo FF.
What is the prediction for Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF?
On our numbers Degerfors IF have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malmo FF 49%.
How many goals will there be in Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF?
Our predicted score is Degerfors IF 1–1 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF?
Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stora Valla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
