Value bet: IF Elfsborg to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIF Elfsborg to win ✗65% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Orgryte IS vs IF Elfsborg preview and prediction
The match
IF Elfsborg travel to Gamla Ullevi in the Allsvenskan on Friday 29 May (18:00 WAT) to face Orgryte IS. Orgryte IS are 15th with 20 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while IF Elfsborg sit 5th on 46 points (in the top half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orgryte IS's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Halmstad 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
IF Elfsborg's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with BK Hacken 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
IF Elfsborg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Orgryte IS and 1.9 for IF Elfsborg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orgryte IS 22%, draw 13%, IF Elfsborg 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: IF Elfsborg to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Orgryte IS 0–2 IF Elfsborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orgryte IS22%fair 4.54 · @3.70
Draw13%fair 7.49 · @3.70
IF Elfsborg65%fair 1.55 · @1.90
2.80Expected goals
0.91Orgryte IS xG
1.89IF Elfsborg xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Orgryte IS 0.9 – 1.9 IF Elfsborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IF Elfsborg to win✗
65%
1.55
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
IF Elfsborg ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IF Elfsborg / FT IF Elfsborg✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.12
–
Form
Orgryte IS – last 6
LLLDLD
23 May
@ Halmstad
0–2
L
19 May
vs IFK Goteborg
2–3
L
11 May
@ Sirius
0–2
L
27 Apr
vs Degerfors IF
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs IF Brommapojkarna
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Malmo FF
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
IF Elfsborg – last 6
DDWLWW
25 May
vs BK Hacken
1–1
D
21 May
vs Mjallby AIF
1–1
D
8 May
vs IF Brommapojkarna
2–0
W
27 Apr
@ Kalmar FF
1–2
L
22 Apr
vs Djurgardens IF
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Degerfors IF
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orgryte IS and IF Elfsborg.
What is the prediction for Orgryte IS vs IF Elfsborg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Orgryte IS vs IF Elfsborg?
On our numbers Orgryte IS have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 13% and IF Elfsborg 65%.
How many goals will there be in Orgryte IS vs IF Elfsborg?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orgryte IS vs IF Elfsborg?
Our predicted score is Orgryte IS 0–2 IF Elfsborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Orgryte IS vs IF Elfsborg?
Orgryte IS vs IF Elfsborg (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Gamla Ullevi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
