Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Gais to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGais to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceGais or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.13
Gais vs Kalmar FF preview and prediction
The match
The Allsvenskan sees Gais take on Kalmar FF on Saturday 30 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Gamla Ullevi. Gais are 9th with 40 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while Kalmar FF sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gais's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Sirius 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kalmar FF's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Degerfors IF 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Kalmar FF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Gais and 0.7 for Kalmar FF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gais 64%, draw 21%, Kalmar FF 15%.
Safer route: Gais or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Gais to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gais or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gais 1–0 Kalmar FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gais64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.50
Kalmar FF15%fair 6.73 · @4.10
2.57Expected goals
1.83Gais xG
0.74Kalmar FF xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Gais 1.8 – 0.7 Kalmar FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gais to win✓
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Gais or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Half-time result
Gais ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gais / FT Gais✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.13
–
Form
Gais – last 6
LWDLLW
24 May
@ Sirius
1–2
L
20 May
vs Hammarby FF
2–0
W
23 Apr
vs Mjallby AIF
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ BK Hacken
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Djurgardens IF
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Halmstad
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kalmar FF – last 6
WLWWDL
23 May
vs Degerfors IF
2–1
W
17 May
@ IF Brommapojkarna
0–1
L
10 May
vs Halmstad
2–0
W
27 Apr
vs IF Elfsborg
2–1
W
23 Apr
vs IFK Goteborg
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ AIK Stockholm
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gais and Kalmar FF.
Our pick is Gais or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gais vs Kalmar FF?
On our numbers Gais have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kalmar FF 15%.
How many goals will there be in Gais vs Kalmar FF?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gais vs Kalmar FF?
Our predicted score is Gais 1–0 Kalmar FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gais vs Kalmar FF?
Gais vs Kalmar FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Gamla Ullevi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
