Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sirius to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSirius to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceSirius or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.35
Sirius vs Gais preview and prediction
The match
Sirius host Gais in the Allsvenskan on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Studenternas IP. Sirius are 2nd with 58 points from 28 games (in the top four), while Gais sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sirius's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Djurgardens IF 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gais's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Hammarby FF 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sirius arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Sirius and 0.9 for Gais. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sirius 63%, draw 21%, Gais 16%.
Safer route: Sirius or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Sirius to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sirius or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sirius 2–0 Gais. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sirius63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.75
Gais16%fair 6.15 · @4.33
2.97Expected goals
2.04Sirius xG
0.93Gais xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sirius 2.0 – 0.9 Gais expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sirius to win✓
63%
1.58
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Sirius or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Half-time result
Sirius ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sirius / FT Sirius✓
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.35
–
Form
Sirius – last 6
WWDWWD
18 May
@ Djurgardens IF
3–2
W
11 May
vs Orgryte IS
2–0
W
27 Apr
@ BK Hacken
2–2
D
23 Apr
@ Malmo FF
3–2
W
13 Apr
vs Hammarby FF
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs IFK Goteborg
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gais – last 6
WDLLWL
20 May
vs Hammarby FF
2–0
W
23 Apr
vs Mjallby AIF
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ BK Hacken
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Djurgardens IF
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Halmstad
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Mjallby AIF
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sirius and Gais.
Our pick is Sirius or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sirius vs Gais?
On our numbers Sirius have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gais 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sirius vs Gais?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sirius vs Gais?
Our predicted score is Sirius 2–0 Gais, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sirius vs Gais?
Sirius vs Gais (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Studenternas IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
