Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHammarby FF to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceHammarby FF or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.15
Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF preview and prediction
The match
Malmo FF travel to 3Arena in the Allsvenskan on Sunday 17 May (13:00 WAT) to face Hammarby FF. Hammarby FF are 1st with 58 points from 28 games (top of the table), while Malmo FF sit 7th on 41 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hammarby FF's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Mjallby AIF 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Malmo FF's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Mjallby AIF 2–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Malmo FF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Hammarby FF and 0.9 for Malmo FF. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Hammarby FF 2–0 Malmo FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hammarby FF66%fair 1.50 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.10
Malmo FF12%fair 8.00 · @5.10
3.13Expected goals
2.23Hammarby FF xG
0.89Malmo FF xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Hammarby FF 2.2 – 0.9 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hammarby FF to win✓
66%
1.50
1.57
Double chance
Hammarby FF or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Half-time result
Hammarby FF ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hammarby FF / FT Hammarby FF✓
45%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.15
–
Form
Hammarby FF – last 6
LWDDLD
14 May
@ Mjallby AIF
1–2
L
3 May
vs Vasteras SK FK
3–0
W
26 Apr
@ Djurgardens IF
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Halmstad
1–1
D
13 Apr
@ Sirius
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Kongsvinger
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Malmo FF – last 6
LWLDWW
3 May
vs Mjallby AIF
2–3
L
27 Apr
@ AIK Stockholm
1–0
W
23 Apr
vs Sirius
2–3
L
5 Apr
@ Orgryte IS
1–1
D
26 Mar
vs Landskrona BoIS
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Halmstad
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hammarby FF and Malmo FF.
What is the prediction for Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?
On our numbers Hammarby FF have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malmo FF 12%.
How many goals will there be in Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?
Our predicted score is Hammarby FF 2–0 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?
Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at 3Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
