Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSirius to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Sirius vs Orgryte IS preview and prediction
The match
The Allsvenskan sees Sirius take on Orgryte IS on Monday 11 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Studenternas IP. Sirius are 2nd with 58 points from 28 games (in the top four), while Orgryte IS sit 15th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sirius's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with BK Hacken 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Orgryte IS's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Degerfors IF 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sirius arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.5 for Sirius and 1.2 for Orgryte IS. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sirius 66%, draw 16%, Orgryte IS 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Sirius 2–1 Orgryte IS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sirius66%fair 1.50 · @1.25
Draw16%fair 6.37 · @5.60
Orgryte IS18%fair 5.60 · @12.00
3.67Expected goals
2.48Sirius xG
1.20Orgryte IS xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Sirius 2.5 – 1.2 Orgryte IS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sirius to win✓
66%
1.50
1.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Half-time result
Sirius ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sirius / FT Sirius✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Form
Sirius – last 6
DWWDWW
27 Apr
@ BK Hacken
2–2
D
23 Apr
@ Malmo FF
3–2
W
13 Apr
vs Hammarby FF
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs IFK Goteborg
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ IF Elfsborg
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Helsingborg
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Orgryte IS – last 6
DLDWDL
27 Apr
vs Degerfors IF
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs IF Brommapojkarna
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Malmo FF
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Lillestrom
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Kalmar FF
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Mjallby AIF
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sirius and Orgryte IS.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sirius vs Orgryte IS?
On our numbers Sirius have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Orgryte IS 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sirius vs Orgryte IS?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sirius vs Orgryte IS?
Our predicted score is Sirius 2–1 Orgryte IS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Sirius vs Orgryte IS?
Sirius vs Orgryte IS (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Studenternas IP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
