Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 1.64 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalmo FF to win ✗66% · @1.64
Double chanceMalmo FF or draw ✓89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.51
Orgryte IS vs Malmo FF preview and prediction
The match
Malmo FF travel to Gamla Ullevi in the Allsvenskan on Sunday 5 April (15:30 WAT) to face Orgryte IS. Orgryte IS are 15th with 20 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Malmo FF sit 7th on 41 points (in the top half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orgryte IS's last 4: WDLD Most recently they beat Lillestrom 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Malmo FF's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Landskrona BoIS 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Malmo FF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Orgryte IS and 2.2 for Malmo FF. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orgryte IS 11%, draw 23%, Malmo FF 66%.
Safer route: Malmo FF or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Malmo FF to win at 1.64 – 66% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Orgryte IS 0–2 Malmo FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orgryte IS11%fair 8.98 · @4.80
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.00
Malmo FF66%fair 1.51 · @1.64
3.00Expected goals
0.83Orgryte IS xG
2.17Malmo FF xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Orgryte IS 0.8 – 2.2 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malmo FF to win✗
66%
1.51
1.64 ▲
Double chance
Malmo FF or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Malmo FF ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malmo FF / FT Malmo FF✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.51
–
Form
Orgryte IS – last 4
WDLD
27 Mar
vs Lillestrom
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Kalmar FF
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Mjallby AIF
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ IFK Varnamo
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Malmo FF – last 4
WWWW
26 Mar
vs Landskrona BoIS
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Halmstad
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ IF Karlstad
4–0
W
22 Feb
vs Varbergs BoIS FC
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orgryte IS and Malmo FF.
What is the prediction for Orgryte IS vs Malmo FF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Orgryte IS vs Malmo FF?
On our numbers Orgryte IS have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Malmo FF 66%.
How many goals will there be in Orgryte IS vs Malmo FF?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orgryte IS vs Malmo FF?
Our predicted score is Orgryte IS 0–2 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Orgryte IS vs Malmo FF?
Orgryte IS vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Gamla Ullevi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
