Value bet: IF Elfsborg to win @ 2.50 – our chance 47% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIF Elfsborg to win ✓47% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
IF Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg preview and prediction
The match
The Allsvenskan sees IF Elfsborg take on IFK Goteborg on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Borås Arena. IF Elfsborg are 5th with 46 points from 28 games (in the top half), while IFK Goteborg sit 10th on 39 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
IF Elfsborg's last 4: WLWL Most recently they beat Osters IF 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
IFK Goteborg's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Valerenga 3–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for IF Elfsborg and 1.3 for IFK Goteborg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: IF Elfsborg 47%, draw 21%, IFK Goteborg 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.55.
Value angle: IF Elfsborg to win at 2.50 – 47% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: IF Elfsborg 1–1 IFK Goteborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IF Elfsborg47%fair 2.12 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.55
IFK Goteborg32%fair 3.10 · @2.60
2.86Expected goals
1.60IF Elfsborg xG
1.27IFK Goteborg xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: IF Elfsborg 1.6 – 1.3 IFK Goteborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IF Elfsborg to win✓
47%
2.12
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IF Elfsborg / FT IF Elfsborg✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Form
IF Elfsborg – last 4
WLWL
26 Mar
vs Osters IF
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Sirius
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Helsingborg
4–0
W
14 Feb
@ Gais
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
IFK Goteborg – last 6
DDWWLD
27 Mar
@ Valerenga
3–3
D
15 Mar
@ Sirius
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Degerfors IF
3–1
W
4 Mar
@ Utsikten
6–0
W
24 Feb
@ Ljungskile SK
2–4
L
21 Feb
vs Ostersunds FK
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IF Elfsborg and IFK Goteborg.
What is the prediction for IF Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg?
On our numbers IF Elfsborg have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and IFK Goteborg 32%.
How many goals will there be in IF Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IF Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg?
Our predicted score is IF Elfsborg 1–1 IFK Goteborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is IF Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg?
IF Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Borås Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
