Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence preview and prediction
The match
Portland Hearts of Pine host Charlotte Independence in the USL League One on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Fitzpatrick Stadium. Portland Hearts of Pine are 14th with 34 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Charlotte Independence sit 1st on 66 points (top of the table). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Portland Hearts of Pine's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Forward Madison 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Charlotte Independence's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Greenville Triumph 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Charlotte Independence arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 September 2026, finished Charlotte Independence 3–2 Portland Hearts of Pine.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.3 for Portland Hearts of Pine and 2.2 for Charlotte Independence. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portland Hearts of Pine 25%, draw 15%, Charlotte Independence 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.33.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Portland Hearts of Pine 1–2 Charlotte Independence. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portland Hearts of Pine25%fair 4.06 · @3.40
Draw15%fair 6.48 · @3.60
Charlotte Independence60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
3.48Expected goals
1.30Portland Hearts of Pine xG
2.18Charlotte Independence xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Portland Hearts of Pine 1.3 – 2.2 Charlotte Independence expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✗
60%
1.67
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✗
What is the prediction for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence?
On our numbers Portland Hearts of Pine have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Charlotte Independence 60%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence?
Our predicted score is Portland Hearts of Pine 1–2 Charlotte Independence, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence?
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Fitzpatrick Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
