Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaples to win ✓65% · @1.57
Double chanceNaples or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.30
Naples vs Richmond Kickers preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Naples take on Richmond Kickers on Thursday 8 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex. Naples are 8th with 46 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Richmond Kickers sit 17th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Naples's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat NY Cosmos 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Richmond Kickers's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat One Knoxville 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Naples arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Richmond Kickers 0–1 Naples.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Naples and 0.8 for Richmond Kickers. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 61%.
Our pre-match pick was Naples to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Naples 2–0 Richmond Kickers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naples65%fair 1.53 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.80
Richmond Kickers11%fair 9.29 · @4.40
2.93Expected goals
2.12Naples xG
0.81Richmond Kickers xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Naples 2.1 – 0.8 Richmond Kickers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Naples vs Richmond Kickers?
Our pick is Naples to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Naples vs Richmond Kickers?
On our numbers Naples have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Richmond Kickers 11%.
How many goals will there be in Naples vs Richmond Kickers?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naples vs Richmond Kickers?
Our predicted score is Naples 2–0 Richmond Kickers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Naples vs Richmond Kickers?
Naples vs Richmond Kickers (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
