Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
One Knoxville or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: One Knoxville to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOne Knoxville to win ✗66% · @1.67
Double chanceOne Knoxville or draw ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.40
Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Richmond Kickers take on One Knoxville on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at City Stadium. Richmond Kickers are 17th with 26 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while One Knoxville sit 6th on 54 points (in the top half). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Richmond Kickers's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to NY Cosmos 2–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
One Knoxville's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Westchester SC 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
One Knoxville arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished One Knoxville 1–0 Richmond Kickers.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Richmond Kickers and 2.0 for One Knoxville. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Richmond Kickers 14%, draw 20%, One Knoxville 66%.
Safer route: One Knoxville or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.60.
Value angle: One Knoxville to win at 1.67 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was One Knoxville or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Richmond Kickers 0–2 One Knoxville. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Richmond Kickers14%fair 7.01 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.75
One Knoxville66%fair 1.51 · @1.67
2.87Expected goals
0.82Richmond Kickers xG
2.05One Knoxville xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Richmond Kickers 0.8 – 2.0 One Knoxville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?
Our pick is One Knoxville or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?
On our numbers Richmond Kickers have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and One Knoxville 66%.
How many goals will there be in Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?
Our predicted score is Richmond Kickers 0–2 One Knoxville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?
Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
