Value bet: Chattanooga Red Wolves to win @ 2.80 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChattanooga Red Wolves to win ✗41% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves preview and prediction
The match
Chattanooga Red Wolves travel to Paradise Coast Sports Complex in the USL League One on Sunday 27 September (00:00 WAT) to face Naples. Naples are 8th with 46 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Chattanooga Red Wolves sit 7th on 47 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Naples's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Fort Wayne 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Chattanooga Red Wolves's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Portland Hearts of Pine 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Chattanooga Red Wolves arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Chattanooga Red Wolves 1–0 Naples.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Naples and 1.5 for Chattanooga Red Wolves. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Naples 36%, draw 23%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 41%.
Value angle: Chattanooga Red Wolves to win at 2.80 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 2.00. Predicted score: Naples 1–2 Chattanooga Red Wolves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naples36%fair 2.79 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Chattanooga Red Wolves41%fair 2.41 · @2.80
2.79Expected goals
1.33Naples xG
1.46Chattanooga Red Wolves xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Naples 1.3 – 1.5 Chattanooga Red Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chattanooga Red Wolves to win✗
41%
2.41
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chattanooga Red Wolves / FT Chattanooga Red Wolves✗
What is the prediction for Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
On our numbers Naples have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chattanooga Red Wolves 41%.
How many goals will there be in Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Our predicted score is Naples 1–2 Chattanooga Red Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
