Boise vs Charlotte Independence prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Boise to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoise to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Boise vs Charlotte Independence preview and prediction
The match
Charlotte Independence travel to face Boise in the USL League One on Thursday 17 September (02:00 WAT). Boise are 3rd with 58 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Charlotte Independence sit 1st on 66 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Boise's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat NY Cosmos 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Charlotte Independence's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Westchester SC 5–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Boise arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 May 2026, finished Charlotte Independence 1–0 Boise.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Boise and 1.2 for Charlotte Independence. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boise 62%, draw 16%, Charlotte Independence 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Boise to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Boise 2–1 Charlotte Independence. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boise62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw16%fair 6.22 · @3.40
Charlotte Independence22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
3.42Expected goals
2.20Boise xG
1.22Charlotte Independence xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Boise 2.2 – 1.2 Charlotte Independence expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Boise vs Charlotte Independence?
Our pick is Boise to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Boise vs Charlotte Independence?
On our numbers Boise have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Charlotte Independence 22%.
How many goals will there be in Boise vs Charlotte Independence?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boise vs Charlotte Independence?
Our predicted score is Boise 2–1 Charlotte Independence, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Boise vs Charlotte Independence?
Boise vs Charlotte Independence (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
