Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Forward Madison to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultForward Madison to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceForward Madison or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.33
Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Forward Madison take on Sarasota Paradise on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Breese Stevens Field. Forward Madison are 4th with 56 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Sarasota Paradise sit 11th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Forward Madison's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Corpus Christi 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sarasota Paradise's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Spokane Velocity 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Forward Madison arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Sarasota Paradise 1–3 Forward Madison.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Forward Madison and 0.8 for Sarasota Paradise. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Forward Madison 64%, draw 21%, Sarasota Paradise 15%.
Safer route: Forward Madison or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Forward Madison to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Forward Madison 1–0 Sarasota Paradise. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Forward Madison64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.30
Sarasota Paradise15%fair 6.47 · @4.20
2.79Expected goals
1.96Forward Madison xG
0.83Sarasota Paradise xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Forward Madison 2.0 – 0.8 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Forward Madison to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers Forward Madison have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarasota Paradise 15%.
How many goals will there be in Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is Forward Madison 1–0 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Breese Stevens Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
