Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Union Omaha or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Union Omaha to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Omaha to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceUnion Omaha or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence preview and prediction
The match
Charlotte Independence travel to Werner Park in the USL League One on Sunday 6 September (01:00 WAT) to face Union Omaha. Union Omaha are 2nd with 62 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Charlotte Independence sit 1st on 66 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Union Omaha's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with NY Cosmos 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Charlotte Independence's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Portland Hearts of Pine 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 June 2026, finished Charlotte Independence 2–0 Union Omaha.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Union Omaha and 1.0 for Charlotte Independence. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Omaha 65%, draw 19%, Charlotte Independence 16%.
Safer route: Union Omaha or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Union Omaha to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Omaha or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union Omaha 2–1 Charlotte Independence. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Omaha65%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.60
Charlotte Independence16%fair 6.18 · @3.60
3.28Expected goals
2.24Union Omaha xG
1.04Charlotte Independence xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Union Omaha 2.2 – 1.0 Charlotte Independence expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence?
Our pick is Union Omaha or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence?
On our numbers Union Omaha have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Charlotte Independence 16%.
How many goals will there be in Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence?
Our predicted score is Union Omaha 2–1 Charlotte Independence, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence?
Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Werner Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
