USL League One · USA · City StadiumRichmond Kickers vs Forward Madison prediction & analysis
Forward Madison or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Forward Madison to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Richmond Kickers 1.0 – 1.9 Forward Madison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Forward Madison shade it despite being away from home – 58% to win, against 20% for Richmond Kickers.
Richmond Kickers have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.2 per game. Forward Madison have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Forward Madison come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.0 for Richmond Kickers, 1.9 for Forward Madison). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Richmond Kickers have won 0, Forward Madison have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Forward Madison or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.25. For a bigger price, Forward Madison to win at 1.91 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Forward Madison to win ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Forward Madison or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Half-time result | Forward Madison ahead at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Forward Madison / FT Forward Madison ✓ | 36% | 2.75 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.98 | – |
Form
Richmond Kickers – last 6
| 23 Aug | vs Portland Hearts of Pine | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Aug | @ Union Omaha | 1–5 | L |
| 6 Aug | vs NY Cosmos | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | vs Alta | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ Charlotte Independence | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Jul | vs Spokane Velocity | 0–2 | L |
Forward Madison – last 6
| 23 Aug | vs Charlotte Independence | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ Portland Hearts of Pine | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Aug | vs Greenville Triumph | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ Boise | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs Westchester SC | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Jul | vs Chattanooga Red Wolves | 5–2 | W |
Head to head
| 16 Jul 2026 | Forward Madison v Richmond Kickers | 4–0 |
USL League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Independence | 32 | +28 | 66 |
| 2 |  Union Omaha | 32 | +20 | 62 |
| 3 |  Boise | 32 | +10 | 58 |
| 4 |  Forward Madison | 32 | +24 | 56 |
| 5 |  Spokane Velocity | 32 | +6 | 54 |
| 6 |  One Knoxville | 32 | +16 | 54 |
| 7 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 32 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Naples | 32 | -7 | 46 |
| 9 |  Fort Wayne | 32 | +5 | 45 |
| 10 |  Westchester SC | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 11 |  Sarasota Paradise | 32 | -2 | 40 |
| 12 |  Corpus Christi | 32 | -15 | 37 |
| 13 |  Alta | 32 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 32 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 32 | -23 | 30 |
| 16 |  NY Cosmos | 32 | -26 | 27 |
| 17 |  Richmond Kickers | 32 | -28 | 26 |
More USL League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?
Our pick is Forward Madison or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?
On our numbers Richmond Kickers have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Forward Madison 58%.
How many goals will there be in Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?
Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.