Greenville Triumph vs Naples prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Naples to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaples to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Greenville Triumph vs Naples preview and prediction
The match
Greenville Triumph host Naples in the USL League One on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Paladin Stadium. Greenville Triumph are 15th with 30 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Naples sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Greenville Triumph's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Spokane Velocity 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Naples's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Union Omaha 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Naples arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Naples 1–0 Greenville Triumph.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Greenville Triumph and 1.4 for Naples. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 63%.
Value angle: Naples to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Greenville Triumph 1–1 Naples. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Greenville Triumph38%fair 2.64 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
Naples39%fair 2.56 · @2.75
2.79Expected goals
1.38Greenville Triumph xG
1.41Naples xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–08%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Greenville Triumph 1.4 – 1.4 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph vs Naples?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Naples?
On our numbers Greenville Triumph have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Naples 39%.
How many goals will there be in Greenville Triumph vs Naples?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greenville Triumph vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Greenville Triumph 1–1 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Greenville Triumph vs Naples?
Greenville Triumph vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paladin Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
