Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Union Omaha to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Omaha to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceUnion Omaha or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Naples vs Union Omaha preview and prediction
The match
Union Omaha travel to Paradise Coast Sports Complex in the USL League One on Thursday 27 August (00:30 WAT) to face Naples. Naples are 8th with 46 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Union Omaha sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Naples's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Alta 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Union Omaha's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Sarasota Paradise 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Union Omaha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Union Omaha 2–1 Naples.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Naples and 2.0 for Union Omaha. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Naples 18%, draw 19%, Union Omaha 64%.
Safer route: Union Omaha or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Union Omaha to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Omaha or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Naples 0–2 Union Omaha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naples18%fair 5.70 · @3.90
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.70
Union Omaha64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
2.92Expected goals
0.91Naples xG
2.00Union Omaha xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Naples 0.9 – 2.0 Union Omaha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Union Omaha or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Naples vs Union Omaha?
On our numbers Naples have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Union Omaha 64%.
How many goals will there be in Naples vs Union Omaha?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naples vs Union Omaha?
Our predicted score is Naples 0–2 Union Omaha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Naples vs Union Omaha?
Naples vs Union Omaha (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
