NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Spokane Velocity to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpokane Velocity to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees NY Cosmos take on Spokane Velocity on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Hinchliffe Stadium. NY Cosmos are 16th with 27 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Spokane Velocity sit 5th on 54 points (in the top half). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
NY Cosmos's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to One Knoxville 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Spokane Velocity's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Chattanooga Red Wolves 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spokane Velocity arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for NY Cosmos and 2.0 for Spokane Velocity. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: NY Cosmos 23%, draw 16%, Spokane Velocity 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spokane Velocity to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NY Cosmos 1–2 Spokane Velocity. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NY Cosmos23%fair 4.28 · @3.25
Draw16%fair 6.27 · @3.25
Spokane Velocity61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
3.08Expected goals
1.10NY Cosmos xG
1.98Spokane Velocity xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: NY Cosmos 1.1 – 2.0 Spokane Velocity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spokane Velocity to win✗
61%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Spokane Velocity ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spokane Velocity / FT Spokane Velocity✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
NY Cosmos – last 6
LLLWLL
17 Oct
vs One Knoxville
0–3
L
11 Oct
@ Charlotte Independence
0–3
L
4 Oct
@ Naples
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Richmond Kickers
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Westchester SC
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Boise
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Spokane Velocity – last 6
WLWDWW
18 Oct
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–0
W
15 Oct
@ Greenville Triumph
3–4
L
11 Oct
@ One Knoxville
2–0
W
4 Oct
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3–3
D
1 Oct
@ Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Forward Madison
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NY Cosmos and Spokane Velocity.
What is the prediction for NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity?
Our pick is Spokane Velocity to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity?
On our numbers NY Cosmos have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Spokane Velocity 61%.
How many goals will there be in NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity?
Our predicted score is NY Cosmos 1–2 Spokane Velocity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity?
NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Hinchliffe Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
