Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOne Knoxville to win ✗41% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville preview and prediction
The match
Charlotte Independence host One Knoxville in the USL League One on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at American Legion Memorial Stadium. Charlotte Independence are 1st with 66 points from 32 games (top of the table), while One Knoxville sit 6th on 54 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte Independence's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Richmond Kickers 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
One Knoxville's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Chattanooga Red Wolves 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished One Knoxville 2–1 Charlotte Independence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Charlotte Independence and 1.6 for One Knoxville. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte Independence 35%, draw 24%, One Knoxville 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Charlotte Independence 1–1 One Knoxville. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte Independence35%fair 2.86 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
One Knoxville41%fair 2.43 · @2.55
3.12Expected goals
1.49Charlotte Independence xG
1.63One Knoxville xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 1.5 – 1.6 One Knoxville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and One Knoxville 41%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 1–1 One Knoxville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
