Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓65% · @1.35
Double chanceCharlotte Independence or draw ✓83% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers preview and prediction
The match
Richmond Kickers travel to American Legion Memorial Stadium in the USL League One on Sunday 26 July (00:00 WAT) to face Charlotte Independence. Charlotte Independence are 1st with 66 points from 32 games (top of the table), while Richmond Kickers sit 17th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 40 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte Independence's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Spokane Velocity 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Richmond Kickers's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Spokane Velocity 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Charlotte Independence arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Charlotte Independence and 1.1 for Richmond Kickers. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte Independence 65%, draw 17%, Richmond Kickers 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Charlotte Independence 2–1 Richmond Kickers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte Independence65%fair 1.53 · @1.35
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @5.00
Richmond Kickers17%fair 5.82 · @6.40
3.32Expected goals
2.26Charlotte Independence xG
1.05Richmond Kickers xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 2.3 – 1.1 Richmond Kickers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
65%
1.53
1.35
Double chance
Charlotte Independence or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Form
Charlotte Independence – last 6
LLDDWW
23 Jul
@ Spokane Velocity
0–3
L
19 Jul
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–4
L
12 Jul
@ Charleston Battery
2–2
D
6 Jul
@ Alta
1–1
D
1 Jul
vs Corpus Christi
2–1
W
25 Jun
vs Greenville Triumph
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Richmond Kickers – last 6
LLWDLL
19 Jul
vs Spokane Velocity
0–2
L
16 Jul
@ Forward Madison
0–4
L
12 Jul
@ Greenville Triumph
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Sarasota Paradise
0–0
D
25 Jun
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
1–5
L
21 Jun
vs Fort Wayne
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte Independence and Richmond Kickers.
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Richmond Kickers 17%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 2–1 Richmond Kickers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?
Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
