One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees One Knoxville take on Fort Wayne on Wednesday 15 July, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Regal Stadium. One Knoxville are 6th with 54 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Fort Wayne sit 9th on 45 points (in the top half).
Form guide
One Knoxville's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Corpus Christi 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Fort Wayne's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Detroit City 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
One Knoxville arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.7 for One Knoxville and 1.0 for Fort Wayne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: One Knoxville 59%, draw 25%, Fort Wayne 17%.
Safer route: One Knoxville or draw (83%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: One Knoxville 1–1 Fort Wayne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
One Knoxville59%fair 1.70 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.60
Fort Wayne17%fair 6.02 · @4.50
2.67Expected goals
1.72One Knoxville xG
0.95Fort Wayne xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: One Knoxville 1.7 – 1.0 Fort Wayne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
One Knoxville
Fort Wayne
Attack vs USL League One average
+2%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.66
1.06
Our own ratings from every USL League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
One Knoxville to win✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Double chance
One Knoxville or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT One Knoxville / FT One Knoxville✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.40
–
Form
One Knoxville – last 6
DWWWDW
12 Jul
@ Corpus Christi
1–1
D
3 Jul
@ Boise
2–1
W
21 Jun
@ Spokane Velocity
4–0
W
14 Jun
vs NY Cosmos
3–1
W
11 Jun
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–1
D
29 May
vs Greenville Triumph
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fort Wayne – last 6
LWWDDL
12 Jul
vs Detroit City
1–2
L
5 Jul
vs Spokane Velocity
3–0
W
21 Jun
@ Richmond Kickers
2–0
W
18 Jun
@ Forward Madison
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Westchester SC
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Union Omaha
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between One Knoxville and Fort Wayne.
What is the prediction for One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne?
On our numbers One Knoxville have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fort Wayne 17%.
How many goals will there be in One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne?
Our predicted score is One Knoxville 1–1 Fort Wayne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne?
One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne (USL League One) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Regal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
