Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers preview and prediction
The match
Forward Madison host Richmond Kickers in the USL League One on Thursday 16 July, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Breese Stevens Field. Forward Madison are 4th with 56 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Richmond Kickers sit 17th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Forward Madison's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Union Omaha 4–3 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Richmond Kickers's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Greenville Triumph 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Forward Madison arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Forward Madison and 0.9 for Richmond Kickers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Forward Madison 64%, draw 19%, Richmond Kickers 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Forward Madison 2–0 Richmond Kickers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Forward Madison64%fair 1.55 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @4.20
Richmond Kickers17%fair 5.98 · @6.25
2.81Expected goals
1.96Forward Madison xG
0.85Richmond Kickers xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Forward Madison 2.0 – 0.9 Richmond Kickers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forward Madison to win✓
64%
1.55
1.44
Double chance
Forward Madison or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.45
Half-time result
Forward Madison ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forward Madison / FT Forward Madison✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.48
–
Form
Forward Madison – last 6
WWWDWL
12 Jul
vs Union Omaha
4–3
W
2 Jul
@ Spokane Velocity
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs NY Cosmos
3–1
W
18 Jun
vs Fort Wayne
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Boise
5–1
W
7 Jun
@ Indy Eleven
0–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Richmond Kickers – last 6
WDLLLL
12 Jul
@ Greenville Triumph
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Sarasota Paradise
0–0
D
25 Jun
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
1–5
L
21 Jun
vs Fort Wayne
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ Corpus Christi
0–1
L
11 Jun
@ Boise
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Forward Madison and Richmond Kickers.
What is the prediction for Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?
On our numbers Forward Madison have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Richmond Kickers 17%.
How many goals will there be in Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?
Our predicted score is Forward Madison 2–0 Richmond Kickers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?
Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Breese Stevens Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
