Value bet: One Knoxville to win @ 2.80 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOne Knoxville to win ✓42% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Boise vs One Knoxville preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Boise take on One Knoxville on Friday 3 July, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT). Boise are 3rd with 58 points from 32 games (in the top four), while One Knoxville sit 6th on 54 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Boise's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Union Omaha 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
One Knoxville's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Spokane Velocity 4–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
One Knoxville arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Boise and 1.5 for One Knoxville. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boise 35%, draw 23%, One Knoxville 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Value angle: One Knoxville to win at 2.80 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Boise 1–1 One Knoxville. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boise35%fair 2.82 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
One Knoxville42%fair 2.39 · @2.80
2.80Expected goals
1.33Boise xG
1.47One Knoxville xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Boise 1.3 – 1.5 One Knoxville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
One Knoxville to win✓
42%
2.39
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT One Knoxville / FT One Knoxville✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Form
Boise – last 6
WLWLDL
21 Jun
vs Union Omaha
1–0
W
14 Jun
@ Forward Madison
1–5
L
11 Jun
vs Richmond Kickers
2–1
W
7 Jun
@ Spokane Velocity
1–2
L
31 May
@ Richmond Kickers
2–2
D
28 May
vs Sarasota Paradise
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
One Knoxville – last 6
WWDWDL
21 Jun
@ Spokane Velocity
4–0
W
14 Jun
vs NY Cosmos
3–1
W
11 Jun
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–1
D
29 May
vs Greenville Triumph
2–0
W
24 May
@ Corpus Christi
2–2
D
17 May
vs San Antonio
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boise and One Knoxville.
What is the prediction for Boise vs One Knoxville?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Boise vs One Knoxville?
On our numbers Boise have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and One Knoxville 42%.
How many goals will there be in Boise vs One Knoxville?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boise vs One Knoxville?
Our predicted score is Boise 1–1 One Knoxville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Boise vs One Knoxville?
Boise vs One Knoxville (USL League One) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
