Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Union Omaha to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha preview and prediction
The match
Union Omaha travel to American Legion Memorial Stadium in the USL League One on Thursday 11 June (00:30 WAT) to face Charlotte Independence. Charlotte Independence are 1st with 66 points from 32 games (top of the table), while Union Omaha sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Charlotte Independence's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Naples 5–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Union Omaha's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Fort Wayne 4–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Charlotte Independence and 1.5 for Union Omaha. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte Independence 42%, draw 21%, Union Omaha 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Union Omaha to win at 2.95 – 36% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Charlotte Independence 1–1 Union Omaha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte Independence42%fair 2.35 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.65
Union Omaha36%fair 2.77 · @2.95
3.21Expected goals
1.68Charlotte Independence xG
1.53Union Omaha xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 1.7 – 1.5 Union Omaha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
42%
2.35
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✓
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.48
–
Form
Charlotte Independence – last 6
WWWWWD
4 Jun
@ Naples
5–1
W
31 May
@ Chattanooga Red Wolves
3–2
W
24 May
vs Forward Madison
3–1
W
10 May
@ Corpus Christi
3–1
W
7 May
vs Boise
1–0
W
3 May
@ Fort Wayne
2–2
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Union Omaha – last 6
WWWWLW
7 Jun
vs Fort Wayne
4–2
W
31 May
vs Naples
2–1
W
28 May
@ NY Cosmos
2–1
W
24 May
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–0
W
17 May
vs Louisville City
1–5
L
14 May
@ One Knoxville
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte Independence and Union Omaha.
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Union Omaha 36%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 1–1 Union Omaha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha?
Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
