The USL League One sees Union Omaha take on Naples on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Werner Park. Union Omaha are 2nd with 62 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Naples sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union Omaha's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat NY Cosmos 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Naples's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Westchester SC 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Union Omaha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Union Omaha and 0.8 for Naples. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Omaha 59%, draw 21%, Naples 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Union Omaha 1–0 Naples. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Omaha59%fair 1.69 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.65
Naples20%fair 4.93 · @4.75
2.54Expected goals
1.69Union Omaha xG
0.85Naples xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Union Omaha 1.7 – 0.8 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Omaha to win✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Double chance
Union Omaha or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Omaha / FT Union Omaha✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.50
–
Form
Union Omaha – last 6
WWLWDW
28 May
@ NY Cosmos
2–1
W
24 May
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–0
W
17 May
vs Louisville City
1–5
L
14 May
@ One Knoxville
2–1
W
10 May
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2–2
D
3 May
vs Greenville Triumph
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Naples – last 6
WLLLLW
24 May
vs Westchester SC
1–0
W
14 May
@ Boise
0–2
L
3 May
vs One Knoxville
0–3
L
30 Apr
@ Miami FC
1–4
L
16 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Sarasota Paradise
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Omaha and Naples.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Union Omaha vs Naples?
On our numbers Union Omaha have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Naples 20%.
How many goals will there be in Union Omaha vs Naples?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Omaha vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Union Omaha 1–0 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Union Omaha vs Naples?
Union Omaha vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Werner Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
